NAC Breda vs Emmen
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda
Emmen
Novembre 14, 2026 at 16:30 · Rat Verlegh Stadion
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NAC Breda vs Emmen prediction and betting tip for this Netherlands Eerste Divisie match, kicking off Novembre 14, 2026 at 16:30 at Rat Verlegh Stadion. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.12), 85% confidence.
NAC Breda vs Emmen Preview
NAC Breda host Emmen in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (matchday 15) on sabato 14 Novembre 2026, kick-off 16:30 GMT+0100 at Rat Verlegh Stadion in Breda.
NAC Breda have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-W-D), averaging 1,2 goals scored and 0,2 conceded. Emmen have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-L), averaging 1,4 goals scored and 1,6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings NAC Breda have won 2, Emmen 3, with 1 draw and an average of 3,2 goals per game. The most recent, in Maggio 2024, finished Emmen 0-3 NAC Breda.
NAC Breda average 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Emmen average 1.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: C. Brym leads NAC Breda's scoring with 9 goals; J. Cooper leads Emmen's scoring with 9 goals and 3 assists.
Bookmakers make NAC Breda the favourites: NAC Breda 1.53, draw 4.10, Emmen 5.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.48 and under at 2.60. Both teams to score: yes 1.53, no 2.38.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3,5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3,2 goals and recent form points to 2,2 goals a game.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Season stats
| NAC Breda | Emmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 7 / 4 / 3 | 8 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 25 (1.8) | 26 (1.9) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 20 (1.4) | 26 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 4-2 | 5-3 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- C. Brym 9 goals · 0 assists
- J. Cooper 9 goals · 3 assists
- F. Quispel 7 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2,15 – 1,26 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 96/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda win | 57,8% | 60,1% | 1,53 | -11.5% |
| Draw | 20,5% | 22,4% | 4,10 | -16.2% |
| Emmen win | 21,7% | 17,5% | 5,25 | +14.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 78,3% | 82,5% | 1,17 | -8.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 42,2% | 39,9% | 2,38 | +0.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85,5% | 84,3% | 1,12 | -4.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66,3% | 63,7% | 1,48 | -1.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33,7% | 36,3% | 2,60 | -12.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55,5% | 55,7% | 1,67 | -7.2% |
| Both teams to score | 63,3% | 60,9% | 1,53 | -3.1% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 13 Nov 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3,5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3,2 goals and recent form points to 2,2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
NAC Breda
WWDWD
1,2 scored · 0,2 conceded per game
Emmen
WWWLL
1,4 scored · 1,6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 NAC Breda wins 1 draws 3 Emmen wins last 6 meetings
- Emmen0 - 3NAC Breda Eredivisie
- NAC Breda1 - 1Emmen Eredivisie
- Emmen2 - 3NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
- NAC Breda1 - 3Emmen Eerste Divisie
- Emmen2 - 0NAC Breda Eredivisie
- NAC Breda1 - 2Emmen Eredivisie
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:27. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
