Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
Novembre 9, 2026 at 19:00 · Kristiansund Stadion
Lost
Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga prediction and betting tip for this Norway Eliteserien match, kicking off Novembre 9, 2026 at 19:00 at Kristiansund Stadion. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.10), 86% confidence. Final score: 1-0 (1-0). The tip lost.
Kristiansund BK 1-0 Valerenga: Match Report
Kristiansund BK beat Valerenga 1-0 at Kristiansund Stadion in the Norway Eliteserien on lunedì. Kristiansund BK led 1-0 at half-time.
Marius Elvius opened the scoring for Kristiansund BK on 27 minutes.
Kristiansund BK had 56% of the ball and 18 shots (6 on target) to Valerenga's 13 (2). Expected goals finished Kristiansund BK 1.58, Valerenga 0.97, so Kristiansund BK deserved the win.
Referee Marius Lien showed 6 yellow cards.
Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, lost with 1 goal in the game.
Goals & cards
- 27' Marius Elvius Kristiansund BK
- 52' Dennis Gjengaar Valerenga · Yellow Card
- 71' Gustav Ørsøe Christensen Kristiansund BK · Yellow Card
- 73' Heine Gikling Bruseth Kristiansund BK · Yellow Card
- 83' Fidel Brice Ambina Valerenga · Yellow Card
- 89' Leander Alvheim Kristiansund BK · Yellow Card
- 90+5' Tobias Hammer Svendsen Kristiansund BK · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Kristiansund BK hosted Valerenga in the Norway Eliteserien (matchday 26) on lunedì 9 Novembre 2026, kick-off 19:00 GMT+0100 at Kristiansund Stadion in Kristiansand. Marius Lien was the referee.
Kristiansund BK are 15th in the table with 23 points from 25 games (6-5-14), while Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points. Valerenga have a 9-point advantage. At home Kristiansund BK have won 4 of 12; Valerenga have won 3 of 12 on the road.
Kristiansund BK have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-W), averaging 1,8 goals scored and 2,8 conceded. Valerenga have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-W-W), averaging 2,0 goals scored and 0,8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Kristiansund BK have won 2, Valerenga 4, with 0 draws and an average of 3,0 goals per game. The most recent, in Maggio 2026, finished Valerenga 3-1 Kristiansund BK.
Kristiansund BK average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. Valerenga average 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
Players to watch: L. Alvheim leads Kristiansund BK's scoring with 12 goals; L. Haren leads Valerenga's scoring with 11 goals and 2 assists.
Line-ups: Kristiansund BK lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Valerenga in a 4-4-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Valerenga the favourites: Kristiansund BK 2.88, draw 4.10, Valerenga 2.10 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.36 and under at 3.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.36, no 3.00.
Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3,4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3,0 goals and recent form points to 3,7 goals a game.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Valerenga | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -22 | 23 |
Season stats
| Kristiansund BK | Valerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 25 | 25 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 5 / 14 | 9 / 5 / 11 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 29 (1.2) | 43 (1.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 51 (2.0) | 46 (1.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.3 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 6-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- L. Alvheim 12 goals · 0 assists
- L. Haren 11 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
A. Sæther, M. Elvius, J. Isaksen, M. Williamsen, J. Kitolano, S. Skeide, H. Bruseth, G. Christensen, S. Svendsen, Z. Bytyqi, L. Alvheim
Coach: A. Skiri
O. Hedvall, V. Hedenstad, A. Kiil Olsen, K. Tshiembe, D. Gjengaar, P. Strand, F. Ambina, C. Lange, L. Haren, M. Grundetjern, O. Saeter
Coach: J. Moesgaard
Data: API-Football · updated 9 Nov 2026, 21:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1,48 – 1,96 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 84/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK win | 29,3% |
| Draw | 21,9% |
| Valerenga win | 48,8% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 51,2% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 70,7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85,8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66,9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33,1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54,9% |
| Both teams to score | 66,4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 9 Nov 2026, 18:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3,4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3,0 goals and recent form points to 3,7 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Kristiansund BK
LLLDW
1,8 scored · 2,8 conceded per game
Valerenga
DLWWW
2,0 scored · 0,8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Kristiansund BK wins 0 draws 4 Valerenga wins last 6 meetings
- Valerenga3 - 1Kristiansund BK Eliteserien
- Valerenga3 - 0Kristiansund BK Eliteserien
- Kristiansund BK0 - 2Valerenga Eliteserien
- Valerenga0 - 2Kristiansund BK Eliteserien
- Kristiansund BK0 - 2Valerenga Eliteserien
- Kristiansund BK3 - 2Valerenga Eliteserien
Statistics: API-Football · updated 9 Nov 2026, 12:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
