Junior vs Cucuta
Colombia Primera A
Junior
Cucuta
Novembre 10, 2026 at 01:00
Won
Junior vs Cucuta prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off Novembre 10, 2026 at 01:00. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.17), 83% confidence. Final score: 2-0 (1-0). The tip won.
- Home Win Won
Junior 2-0 Cucuta: Match Report
Junior beat Cucuta 2-0 at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez in the Colombia Primera A on martedì. Junior led 1-0 at half-time.
G. Paiva opened the scoring for Junior on 35 minutes, set up by J. Pena. T. Gutierrez made it 2-0 on 50 minutes, set up by B. Castrillon.
Junior had 51% of the ball and 18 shots (5 on target) to Cucuta's 14 (5). Expected goals finished Junior 1.18, Cucuta 1.37, a close game on chances.
Referee Wilmar Roldan showed 6 yellow cards.
Our tip, Junior or draw (1X), won as Junior won.
Goals & cards
- 9' J. Peralta Cucuta · Yellow Card
- 26' J. Agudelo Cucuta · Yellow Card
- 35' G. Paiva Junior · assist J. Pena
- 42' G. Paiva Junior · Yellow Card
- 50' T. Gutierrez Junior · assist B. Castrillon
- 51' T. Gutierrez Junior · Yellow Card
- 72' J. Rios Junior · Yellow Card
- 87' C. Perez Junior · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Junior hosted Cucuta in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 18) on martedì 10 Novembre 2026, kick-off 01:00 GMT+0100 at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez in Barranquilla. Wilmar Roldan was the referee.
Junior are 14th in the table with 19 points from 18 games (4-7-7), while Cucuta sit 11th on 24 points. Cucuta have a 5-point advantage. At home Junior have won 3 of 9; Cucuta have won 2 of 9 on the road.
Junior have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-D-L), averaging 1,0 goals scored and 1,0 conceded. Cucuta have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-L-W), averaging 0,8 goals scored and 1,0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Junior have won 4, Cucuta 1, with 1 draw and an average of 3,7 goals per game. The most recent, in Aprile 2026, finished Cucuta 1-1 Junior.
Junior average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 12 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Cucuta average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
Players to watch: L. Muriel leads Junior's scoring with 16 goals and 3 assists.
Line-ups: Junior lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Cucuta in a 4-1-4-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Junior the favourites: Junior 1.70, draw 3.60, Cucuta 4.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.75 and under at 2.05. Both teams to score: yes 1.73, no 2.00.
Our prediction was Junior or draw (1X). The model gives Junior or a draw a 90% chance, Junior have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 8 of 9 home games.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 19 |
Season stats
| Junior | Cucuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 42 | 36 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 17 / 11 / 14 | 10 / 10 / 16 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 62 (1.5) | 41 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 55 (1.3) | 59 (1.6) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 12 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 8 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 4 |
| Biggest win | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
- L. Muriel 16 goals · 3 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Mauro Silveira, Jermein Peña, Jean Carlos Pestaña, Carlos Perez, Yeison Suárez, Juan David Ríos, Jesús Rivas, Yimmi Chará, Guillermo Paiva, Bryan Castrillón, Francisco Fydriszewski
Federico Abadía, Diego Calcaterra, Hernán Lópes, Brayan Montaño, Mauricio Duarte, Jader Manyoma, Jhonatan Agudelo, Leider Berdugo, Victor Mejia, Dayan Pérez, Jaime Peralta
Data: API-Football · updated 10 Nov 2026, 03:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1,96 – 0,92 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 93/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior win | 61,8% | 54,6% | 1,70 | +5.0% |
| Draw | 21,3% | 25,8% | 3,60 | -23.4% |
| Cucuta win | 16,9% | 19,6% | 4,75 | -19.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 83,1% | 80,4% | 1,17 | -2.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 38,2% | 45,4% | 2,15 | -17.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78,2% | 76,6% | 1,22 | -4.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55,0% | 53,9% | 1,75 | -3.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45,0% | 46,1% | 2,05 | -7.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67,4% | 66,3% | 1,40 | -5.7% |
| Both teams to score | 51,6% | 53,6% | 1,73 | -10.7% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 10 Nov 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Junior or draw (1X) — The model gives Junior or a draw a 90% chance, Junior have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 8 of 9 home games.
Form (last 5)
Junior
DDWDL
1,0 scored · 1,0 conceded per game
Cucuta
WWLLW
0,8 scored · 1,0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 Junior wins 1 draws 1 Cucuta wins last 6 meetings
- Cucuta1 - 1Junior Primera A
- Junior2 - 1Cucuta Copa Colombia
- Cucuta4 - 3Junior Copa Colombia
- Cucuta1 - 4Junior Primera A
- Junior1 - 0Cucuta Primera A
- Cucuta1 - 3Junior Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 9 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
