Jong AZ vs Almere City FC
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
Novembre 6, 2026 at 20:00 · AFAS Trainingscomplex
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Jong AZ vs Almere City FC prediction and betting tip for this Netherlands Eerste Divisie match, kicking off Novembre 6, 2026 at 20:00 at AFAS Trainingscomplex. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.08), 92% confidence.
Jong AZ vs Almere City FC Preview
Jong AZ host Almere City FC in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (matchday 14) on venerdì 6 Novembre 2026, kick-off 20:00 GMT+0100 at AFAS Trainingscomplex in Alkmaar.
Jong AZ have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-D-W-L), averaging 2,8 goals scored and 2,4 conceded. Almere City FC have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-L-W), averaging 1,8 goals scored and 1,2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Jong AZ have won 3, Almere City FC 3, with 0 draws and an average of 4,3 goals per game. The most recent, in Gennaio 2026, finished Jong AZ 3-4 Almere City FC.
Jong AZ average 2.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Almere City FC average 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: F. Druijf leads Almere City FC's scoring with 8 goals and 3 assists.
Bookmakers make Almere City FC the favourites: Jong AZ 3.00, draw 4.00, Almere City FC 2.10 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.33 and under at 3.40. Both teams to score: yes 1.30, no 3.40.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3,9 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 4,3 goals and recent form points to 4,1 goals a game.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Season stats
| Jong AZ | Almere City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 2 / 6 | 8 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 32 (2.5) | 27 (2.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 28 (2.2) | 13 (1.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 2.9 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- F. Druijf 8 goals · 3 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 17:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1,78 – 2,38 · most likely score 1-2 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Jong AZ win | 29,0% |
| Draw | 19,5% |
| Almere City FC win | 51,4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 48,6% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 71,0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91,9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78,4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 21,6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 40,3% |
| Both teams to score | 75,4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 18:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3,9 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 4,3 goals and recent form points to 4,1 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Jong AZ
WLDWL
2,8 scored · 2,4 conceded per game
Almere City FC
WWLLW
1,8 scored · 1,2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Jong AZ wins 0 draws 3 Almere City FC wins last 6 meetings
- Jong AZ3 - 4Almere City FC Eerste Divisie
- Almere City FC1 - 3Jong AZ Eerste Divisie
- Almere City FC2 - 1Jong AZ Eerste Divisie
- Jong AZ3 - 2Almere City FC Eerste Divisie
- Jong AZ1 - 3Almere City FC Friendlies Clubs
- Almere City FC0 - 3Jong AZ Eerste Divisie
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
