Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Germania: Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Novembre 6, 2026 at 20:30 · Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
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Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction and betting tip for this Germany: Bundesliga match, kicking off Novembre 6, 2026 at 20:30 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburger. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.18), 75% confidence.
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Preview
Hamburger SV host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Germany Bundesliga (matchday 9) on venerdì 6 Novembre 2026, kick-off 20:30 GMT+0100 at Volksparkstadion in Hamburger. Sven Jablonski is the referee.
Hamburger SV are 15th in the table with 9 points from 8 games (3-0-5), while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th on 4 points. Hamburger SV have a 5-point advantage. At home Hamburger SV have won 2 of 3; Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of 4 on the road.
Hamburger SV have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-L), averaging 1,4 goals scored and 1,4 conceded. Borussia Mönchengladbach have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-W-D), averaging 1,6 goals scored and 2,0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Hamburger SV have won 2, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2, with 2 draws and an average of 2,2 goals per game. The most recent, in Gennaio 2026, finished Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Hamburger SV average 0.9 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Borussia Mönchengladbach average 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
Hamburger SV will be without B. Nadir (muscle injury), N. Remberg (knee injury), F. Vieira (thigh injury) and M. Vuskovic (doping), and N. Capaldo (muscle injury) and Y. Poulsen (hip injury) are doubtful. Borussia Mönchengladbach will be without H. Bolin (muscle injury), N. Kuhn (muscle injury), E. Leopold (knee injury) and J. Leszczynski (knee injury), and K. Diks (personal reasons), F. Fleck (muscle injury), F. Honorat (muscle injury), T. Kleindienst (muscle injury) and M. Nicolas (injury) are doubtful.
Bookmakers make Hamburger SV the favourites: Hamburger SV 2.30, draw 3.50, Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.10 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80 and under at 2.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3,8 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2,2 goals and recent form points to 3,2 goals a game.
Team news
- Out B. Nadir Muscle Injury
- Out N. Remberg Knee Injury
- Out F. Vieira Thigh Injury
- Out M. Vuskovic Doping
- Doubtful N. Capaldo Muscle Injury
- Doubtful Y. Poulsen Hip Injury
- Out H. Bolin Muscle Injury
- Out N. Kuhn Muscle Injury
- Out E. Leopold Knee Injury
- Out J. Leszczynski Knee Injury
- Doubtful K. Diks Personal Reasons
- Doubtful F. Fleck Muscle Injury
- Doubtful F. Honorat Muscle Injury
- Doubtful T. Kleindienst Muscle Injury
- Doubtful M. Nicolas Injury
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Season stats
| Hamburger SV | Borussia Mönchengladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 0 / 5 | 1 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 7 (0.9) | 11 (1.4) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 19 (2.4) | 22 (2.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.0 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-2-1 | 3-4-2-1 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 17:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1,44 – 1,18 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 43,1% |
| Draw | 26,0% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 30,9% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 69,1% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 57,0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73,6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48,6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51,4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73,2% |
| Both teams to score | 52,8% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 18:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3,8 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2,2 goals and recent form points to 3,2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Hamburger SV
WWWLL
1,4 scored · 1,4 conceded per game
Borussia Mönchengladbach
LLLWD
1,6 scored · 2,0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Hamburger SV wins 2 draws 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins last 6 meetings
- Hamburger SV0 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga
- Borussia Mönchengladbach0 - 0Hamburger SV Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV2 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach Bundesliga
- Borussia Monchengladbach3 - 1Hamburger SV Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV2 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV1 - 2Borussia Monchengladbach DFB Pokal
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 14:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).