France - Ligue 1
Tolosa
Strasburgo
Novembre 6, 2026 at 20:45 · Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
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Toulouse host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10) on venerdì 6 Novembre at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. Toulouse are 12th with 10 points from 9 games, while Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points from 9. Toulouse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 league games. Strasbourg have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 league games. At home this season Toulouse score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per game; away from home Strasbourg score 1.6 and concede 2.6. Toulouse have 6 players listed as out or doubtful, and Strasbourg have 4 players listed as out or doubtful. In their last 6 meetings Toulouse won 2, Strasbourg won 3 and 1 ended level. Our model makes Over 1.5 Goals the pick at 79% (odds 1.17).
- Competition
- France: Ligue 1 — Regular Season - 10
- Kickoff
- venerdì 6 Novembre 2026, 20:45
- Venue
- Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
- Referee
- Mathieu Vernice
Team news
Tolosa
- A. Donnum — Out (Yellow Cards)
- R. Messali — Out (Thigh Injury)
- M. Niflore — Doubtful (Knee Injury)
- A. Donnum — Out (Yellow Cards)
- R. Messali — Out (Thigh Injury)
- M. Niflore — Doubtful (Knee Injury)
Strasburgo
- J. Panichelli — Out (Knee Injury)
- F. Balde — Doubtful (Leg Injury)
- J. Panichelli — Out (Knee Injury)
- F. Balde — Doubtful (Leg Injury)
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 |  Lione | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 5 |  Reuni | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 6 |  Marsiglia | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 8 |  Carino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 9 |  Lente | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 | WLDWL |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 12 | Tolosa | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 13 | Strasburgo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 | LDWLW |
| 15 |  Arrabbia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
Season stats
| Tolosa | Strasburgo | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | All | Away | All | |
| Played | 4 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| Won | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Drawn | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Lost | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 12 | 8 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-2 | 2-6 | ||
Top scorers
| # | Player | Team | Goals | Assists | Apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Sinayoko | Paris FC | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | E. Lepaul | Reuni | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | C. Archer | Auxerre | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | A. Gouiri | Marsiglia | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | E. Wahi | Carino | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | C. Tengstedt | Tolosa | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Gessime Yassine | Strasburgo | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Ferran Torres | Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | L. Ajorque | Stade Brestois 29 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | S. Szymański | Reuni | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Highlighted: players from the two teams.
Odds
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — 1.17
Middle value across bookmakers, from API-Football. Odds change; check with your bookmaker.
Match Analysis
Model pick: Over 1.5 Goals — 79% probability (Moderate).
Expected goals: Toulouse 1,51 – 1,43 Strasbourg. Probabilities come from Dixon-Coles team strengths and Elo ratings fitted on past results, recorded 5 Nov 00:09 before kickoff; they are estimates, not guarantees.
Form (last 5)
Tolosa
- L 0–2 @ Marseille 1 Nov
- D 0–0 vs Estac Troyes 25 Ott
- W 3–0 @ Le Mans 16 Ott
- D 2–2 @ Monaco 10 Ott
- W 3–2 vs Le Havre 19 Set
Strasburgo
- W 5–1 vs Auxerre 1 Nov
- L 0–3 @ Rennes 25 Ott
- L 1–3 vs Paris Saint Germain 17 Ott
- L 1–2 @ Nice 11 Ott
- L 1–2 @ Paris FC 19 Set
Team comparison
TolosaStrasburgoThe longer bar is the better side for that measure.
Head-to-head
- 3 Mag 2026 · Ligue 1 Strasburgo 1–2 Tolosa
- 6 Dic 2025 · Ligue 1 Tolosa 1–0 Strasburgo
- 16 Mar 2025 · Ligue 1 Strasburgo 2–1 Tolosa
- 12 Gen 2025 · Ligue 1 Tolosa 1–2 Strasburgo
- 7 Apr 2024 · Ligue 1 Tolosa 0–0 Strasburgo
- 27 Ago 2023 · Ligue 1 Strasburgo 2–0 Tolosa
Data from API-Football, updated 5 Nov 2026, 12:24. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.